I have decided to organize the trades I talked about in the last few months. I report all my stock picks before the market opens on the corresponding yahoo message boards (TELK is mentioned on TELK message board and so on). My nick on MB is trading_signal. Usually I enter my positions at the market open. Position exits are also at the market open unless a pre-set stop-loss or stop-profit is hit during the day.
To monitor performance of various trading systems I separate my positions based on the systems that have generated them. When I started posting I planned to create a model Biotech-Oncology portfolio based on several of my trading systems. Looking back I see that these systems could not generate enough signals to fill in a portfolio. The starting value of the portfolio was assumed to be $100K and each position is typically equivalent to $10K. In the future I will be adding several more systems that hopefully will allow me to generate enough biotech stock picks to keep a reasonable portfolio. In the table below each profit/loss is for a single position, equivalent ~1/10 of the total portfolio value. So, for example, 50% loss in ABGX translates to 5% portfolio loss. The second table monitors my picks based on Elliott analysis and the third keeps track of various other systems.
Biotech-Oncology Stock Picks
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| Stock |
Long/Short |
Entry Date |
Entry Price |
Exit Date |
Exit Price |
# Shares |
Profit/Loss |
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| TELK |
Long |
11/1/2005 |
14.86 |
11/11/2005 |
16.51 |
250 |
11.1% |
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| TELK |
Long |
11/1/2005 |
14.86 |
11/16/2005 |
16.98 |
250 |
14.3% |
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| CEGE |
Long |
11/1/2005 |
5.33 |
11/16/2005 |
5.78 |
1500 |
8.4% |
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| GTOP |
Short |
11/30/2005 |
8.1 |
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1200 |
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| EXEL |
Short |
11/30/2005 |
7.87 |
12/6/2005 |
8.8 |
1200 |
-11.8% |
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| ABGX |
Short |
12/7/2005 |
14.39 |
12/15/2005 |
21.8 |
700 |
-51.5% |
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| CYTK |
Short |
12/7/2005 |
8.47 |
12/13/2005 |
7.62 |
1200 |
10% |
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| MEDX |
Short |
12/16/2005 |
11.5 |
12/21/2005 |
12.65 |
800 |
-10% |
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| IMCL |
Short |
12/29/2005 |
34.66 |
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Stock Picks based on Elliott Wave
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| Stock |
Long/Short |
Entry Date |
Entry Price |
Exit Date |
Exit Price |
Profit/Loss |
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| AMGN |
Long |
10/31/2005 |
75.96 |
11/28/2005 |
82.26 |
8.3% |
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| C |
Short |
12/5/2005 |
48.76 |
12/12/2005 |
49 |
-0.89% |
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| AA |
Short |
12/12/2005 |
28 |
12/21/2005 |
29 |
-3.6% |
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| AMGN |
Short |
12/19/2005 |
78.05 |
12/22/2005 |
80.7 |
-3.4% |
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| AMGN |
Long |
12/22/2005 |
81.05 |
1/12/2006 |
76.65 |
-5.4% |
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Other Stock Picks
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| Stock |
Long/Short |
Entry Date |
Entry Price |
Exit Date |
Exit Price |
Profit/Loss |
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| GERN |
Long |
10/28/2005 |
8.74 |
11/4/2005 |
9.05 |
3.5% |
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| MEDX |
Long |
10/28/2005 |
8.22 |
11/4/2005 |
9.3 |
13.1% |
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I am using an excel macro by
Chris Mead to generate the tables. because of this html code is noticebly shorter than the one genereted by excel.
1 comment:
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